Aston Villa44Index46Attack43Defense

Chances created and conceded
0.0+0.6+1.3+1.9+2.52026/27AVL
Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches. Chart R49bsnpfiv5snb.
Assessed fixtures · 8 this season
vs MCI
24% win
GW8
at NEW
32% win
GW7
vs BRE
✗ missed
GW6
at TOT
✗ missed
GW5
vs NOT
✗ missed
GW4
at HUL
✗ missed
GW3
vs ARS
✓ called
GW2
at BHA
✓ called
GW1
Squad projections — this week
John McGinnG+A 0.4516% goal
Emiliano BuendíaG+A 0.4314% goal
Nicolas JacksonG+A 0.2613% goal
Ross BarkleyG+A 0.258% goal
Boubacar KamaraG+A 0.161% goal
Johan ManzambiG+A 0.158% goal
Ian MaatsenG+A 0.102% goal
Victor LindelöfG+A 0.097% goal
Points (6 played)
5
Expected points
5.9
Gap
-0.9
Table / xTable
16 / 19
Finishing
-0.8
Keeping
+1.1

Luck ledger · 2026/27

04815
— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log · 2026/27

GameOpponentScorexGxGAxPtsPts
1@ Brighton0-40.34.00.10
2Arsenal0-10.31.50.20
3@ Hull0-01.60.82.01
4Forest1-21.12.80.40
5@ Spurs3-21.71.71.43
6Brentford2-21.81.31.81

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 19 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Aston Villa has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Style profile7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).Set-piece threat83rdAerial55thCrossing39thCarrying94thBig chances77thClose range17thChance quality66th
  • Creating
Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
AxisCreating
Set-piece threat83rd
Aerial55th
Crossing39th
Carrying94th
Big chances77th
Close range17th
Chance quality66th
Where Aston Villa's threat comes from. Strongest trait: carrying (94th percentile). as of 2026-10-10
Style profile7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).Set-piece threat66thAerial61stCrossing45thCarrying61stBig chances34thClose range34thChance quality34th
  • Conceding
Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
AxisConceding
Set-piece threat66th
Aerial61st
Crossing45th
Carrying61st
Big chances34th
Close range34th
Chance quality34th
The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: set-piece threat (66th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home0-1-23–5 goals · 3–6 xG
Away1-1-13–6 goals · 4–7 xG
Proportional breakdown2 categories totalling 6.83%17%6SCORED
  • Open play83%
  • From corners17%
Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 6.
CategoryValueShare
Open play583.3%
From corners116.7%
Where Aston Villa's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.
Proportional breakdown2 categories totalling 10.90%10%10CONCEDED
  • Open play90%
  • Set pieces10%
Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 10.
CategoryValueShare
Open play990.0%
Set pieces110.0%
Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.
Who carried the threat
PlayerxGxAGA
Nicolas Jackson1.40.720
Johan Manzambi1.30.612
John McGinn1.10.612
Emiliano Buendía1.00.410
Victor Lindelöf0.60.100
Ross Barkley0.30.600
George Hemmings0.30.400
Ian Maatsen0.30.100

Next up

Last season: 65 pts vs 50.0 xPts (+15.0) — finished 4, deserved 12.