Match spotlight · Fri 21 Aug, 20:00
86%ARS WIN
Arsenal vs Coventry City
Attack index 78 meets defense index 50 — the biggest mismatch of the week.
3–0
Most likely score
Gameweek 1 board — all assessments
Today’s headlines
Player projections — Gameweek 1
| Player | Fixture | Proj xG | Proj xA | P(Goal) | P(Assist) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes MUN | at HUL | 0.20 | 0.83 | 18% | 56% |
| Enzo Le Fée SUN | at IPS | 0.11 | 0.89 | 10% | 59% |
| Dango Ouattara BRE | vs TOT | 0.33 | 0.42 | 28% | 34% |
| Viktor Gyokeres ARS | vs COV | 0.63 | 0.12 | 47% | 11% |
| Thiago BRE | vs TOT | 0.66 | 0.07 | 48% | 7% |
| Kai Havertz ARS | vs COV | 0.49 | 0.17 | 39% | 16% |
| Dominik Szoboszlai LIV | at NEW | 0.13 | 0.52 | 12% | 41% |
| Ollie Watkins AVL | at BHA | 0.52 | 0.12 | 41% | 12% |
| William Osula NEW | vs LIV | 0.54 | 0.07 | 42% | 7% |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin LEE | at NOT | 0.57 | 0.01 | 43% | 1% |
| Mathis Cherki MCI | vs BOU | 0.17 | 0.38 | 16% | 32% |
| Richarlison TOT | at BRE | 0.39 | 0.15 | 32% | 14% |
| Enzo Fernández CHE | at FUL | 0.21 | 0.32 | 19% | 28% |
| Jack Hinshelwood BHA | vs AVL | 0.35 | 0.18 | 29% | 16% |
| Marcus Tavernier BOU | at MCI | 0.27 | 0.25 | 24% | 22% |
| Brian Brobbey SUN | at IPS | 0.43 | 0.09 | 35% | 8% |
| Bryan Mbeumo MUN | at HUL | 0.38 | 0.10 | 32% | 10% |
| Mathys Tel TOT | at BRE | 0.10 | 0.38 | 9% | 32% |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall EVE | vs CRY | 0.21 | 0.26 | 19% | 23% |
| Cody Gakpo LIV | at NEW | 0.32 | 0.14 | 27% | 13% |
Projections assume recent minutes patterns — the model doesn’t know lineups. Full method: /model.
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Data through 2026-08-15 · model dc-v1 · every prediction on the record at /model.