Match spotlight · xGB Core · Mon 31 Aug, 19:45

50%ATA WIN

Atalanta vs Bologna

Attack index 67 meets defense index 48 — the biggest mismatch of the week. Play this fixture 10,000 times and expect ATA winning 5000, the draw 2900, BOL winning 2100.

Over 2.5 goals · 47%Full assessment →

ATA WIN50%DRAW29%BOL WIN21%

1–0

Likeliest ATA win

Called 12 of 18finished matches this round — every call frozen before kickoff, graded at full time

Gameweek 2 board — all assessments

Draw watchATA—BOL29%LEC—ROM26%the week's likeliest stalemates

ATA — BOLMon 19:45

H 50%D 29%A 21%

Finished — graded

CAG — INT0–1

✓ calledgave this 67%

LAZ — GEN1–0

✓ calledgave this 45%

NAP — COM1–2

✗ missedgave this 30%

JUV — PAR2–0

✓ calledgave this 69%

SAS — TOR2–1

✓ calledgave this 43%

MON — UDI2–3

✓ calledgave this 45%

FIO — FRO0–3

✗ missedgave this 20%

MIL — VEN2–0

✓ calledgave this 69%

ROM — FIO4–0

✓ calledgave this 57%

BOL — LAZ0–1

✗ missedgave this 28%

TOR — MIL1–2

✓ calledgave this 49%

ATA — SAS2–1

✓ calledgave this 61%

FRO — JUV0–1

✓ calledgave this 65%

VEN — LEC0–2

✗ missedgave this 28%

GEN — NAP0–2

✓ calledgave this 47%

PAR — CAG0–1

✗ missedgave this 33%

INT — MON4–1

✓ calledgave this 88%

UDI — COM1–1

✗ missedgave this 30%

Gameweek 3 — next up

Assessed already, before a ball is kicked. These re-price as this week’s results land.

Draw watchPAS—MON34%CAG—LEC34%UDI—LAZ34%the week's likeliest stalemates

Today’s headlines

Roma win — The round's most lopsided assessment: LEC vs ROM.

draw watch

29%

ATA–BOL stalemate — The round's likeliest draw — a first-class outcome here.

No player projections for Serie A. The data is all here — every appearance, with minutes, positions and cards. A player model has been measured on this league and its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read, so we leave the list out rather than print numbers we have already watched miss.

What we said last time

Gameweek 1: played, with no calls of ours on record to judge