Premier League · 10La LigaSerie A · 10Bundesliga · 9Ligue 1 · 9
Match spotlight · xGB Core · Sat 17 Oct, 17:30
56%BAR WIN

Real Betis vs Barcelona

The model's marquee match: 23% home, 56% away. Play this fixture 10,000 times and expect REA winning 2300, the draw 2060, BAR winning 5630.

Over 2.5 goals · 74%Full assessment →
REA WIN23%DRAW21%BAR WIN56%
1–2
Likeliest BAR win
Gameweek 8 board — all assessments

Next round on Fri 16 Oct

RAY — ATHresult pending
H 38%D 29%A 33%
Finished — no call recorded

played, and no assessment is left on record for them — the score stands, the call does not exist

RSO — DEP3–2
no call recorded
RAC — VAL2–2
no call recorded
BAR — GET3–0
no call recorded
ALA — ATM1–2
no call recorded
MAL — ESP1–1
no call recorded
RMA — VIL1–0
no call recorded
ELC — CEL0–0
no call recorded
REA — OSA5–2
no call recorded
LEV — SEV3–3
no call recorded
Postponed
Finished — graded
LEV — SEV3–3
✗ missedgave this 26%
RAC — VAL2–2
✗ missedgave this 24%
REA — OSA5–2
✓ calledgave this 59%
MAL — ESP1–1
✗ missedgave this 32%
BAR — GET3–0
✓ calledgave this 86%
RSO — DEP3–2
✓ calledgave this 56%
ELC — CEL0–0
✗ missedgave this 27%
RMA — VIL1–0
✓ calledgave this 65%
ALA — ATM1–2
✓ calledgave this 36%
Today’s headlines
safest pick
38%
Rayo Vallecano win — The round's most lopsided assessment: RAY vs ATH.
coin flip
38%
RAY vs ATH — No outcome reaches even money — the round's tightest call.
draw watch
29%
RAY–ATH stalemate — The round's likeliest draw — a first-class outcome here.

No player projections for La Liga. The data is all here — every appearance, with minutes, positions and cards. A player model has been measured on this league and its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read, so we leave the list out rather than print numbers we have already watched miss.

Season outlook — 20,000 simulated seasons
Proportional breakdown4 categories totalling 0.9910000000000001.80%16%BarcelonaTITLE
  • Barcelona80%
  • Real Madrid16%
  • Atletico Madrid3%
  • Real Betis2%
Proportional breakdown — 4 categories totalling 0.9910000000000001.
CategoryValueShare
Barcelona0.78879.5%
Real Madrid0.15415.5%
Atletico Madrid0.0323.2%
Real Betis0.0171.7%
Share of simulated seasons each club finishes top. as of 2026-10-15
Bar chart6 bars.0%25%50%75%100%90%Malaga46%Racing Santander32%Getafe25%Elche22%Valencia16%EspanyolRELEGATION RISK
Bar chart — 6 bars.
LabelValueHighlighted
Malaga90%yes
Racing Santander46%no
Getafe32%no
Elche25%no
Valencia22%no
Espanyol16%no
The bottom of a table turns on a handful of results between sides rated almost identically — read the spread, not the order. as of 2026-10-15

Updated 15 Oct 2026