Gameweek 6 · Premier League

The engine's fifteen

The best legal fifteen this week by expected points — £100.0m, 2/5/5/3, max three per club, captain doubled. Two builds; copy either. Graded after the gameweek.

Gameweek 5 — how the published squads actually scored

Pure model: 33 pts vs 62 projected

Starters nailed: 56 pts vs 64 projected

Every published gameweek

Gameweek 6not yet played →Gameweek 5predicted 61.7 · actual 33 →Gameweek 4predicted 61.1 · actual 40 →Gameweek 3predicted 65.3 · actual 53 →Gameweek 2predicted 68.5 · actual 75 →Gameweek 1predicted 67.2 · actual 41 →

expected minutes exactly as the engine's recent-form window prices them — rotation risk included

Gameweek 6 · deadline Sat 10 Oct, 10:00 UTC

Lammens£4.9m3.4 pts

Davis£4.0m5.5 pts

De Cuyper£5.0m5.4 pts

Calafiori£5.8m5.3 pts

Gabriel£8.0m5.1 pts

CMbeumo£7.9m7.1 pts

VB.Fernandes£11.9m6.3 pts

Saka£9.5m6.2 pts

Palmer£9.7m5.1 pts

Szoboszlai£6.9m5.0 pts

Wissa£6.2m4.2 pts

4-5-1 · starting eleven

Bench — in order

Tzolakis£4.7m3.4 pts

Ajayi£4.2m4.5 pts

Barry£5.7m4.0 pts

Emersonn£5.5m4.0 pts

£99.9m of £100.0m · this fifteen projects 66 pts incl. captain · as of 2026-10-03

Already have a squad? What to change

Make 1 transfer · your squad then projects 65 pts

OUT Gibbs-White (4.9 pts) → IN Saka ARS £9.5m (6.2 pts)

Transfers	Points hit	Squad points	Net
0	—	63.3	63.3
1	—	64.6	64.6
2	−4	65.2	61.2
3	−8	65.6	57.6

Assumes 1 free transfer; each extra costs 4 points, which is why more is usually worse. Not modeled: your bank balance, FPL sell-on prices, future gameweeks.

Chips — what they're worth this week

Bench Boost

+13.3

expected points your bench scores instead of wasting

Triple Captain

+7.1

one further Mbeumo, on top of the doubling you already get

Priced on your squad after the recommended transfers. this gameweek only — double and blank gameweeks are not modeled.

Why each pick


Mbeumo (C)	MID	£7.9m	7.1	0.76	0.32	36%	90'
B.Fernandes (V)	MID	£11.9m	6.3	0.38	0.70	36%	90'
Saka	MID	£9.5m	6.2	0.53	0.36	42%	84'
Davis	DEF	£4.0m	5.5	0.37	0.16	19%	90'
De Cuyper	DEF	£5.0m	5.4	0.16	0.47	25%	86'
Calafiori	DEF	£5.8m	5.3	0.17	0.18	42%	85'
Gabriel	DEF	£8.0m	5.1	0.23	0.01	42%	90'
Palmer	MID	£9.7m	5.1	0.35	0.39	20%	89'
Szoboszlai	MID	£6.9m	5.0	0.21	0.59	18%	88'
Ajayi (bench 1)	DEF	£4.2m	4.5	0.19	0.00	35%	85'
Wissa	FWD	£6.2m	4.2	0.46	0.13	29%	89'
Barry (bench 2)	FWD	£5.7m	4.0	0.48	0.04	30%	85'
Emersonn (bench 3)	FWD	£5.5m	4.0	0.29	0.27	19%	67'
Lammens	GK	£4.9m	3.4	0.00	0.00	36%	90'
Tzolakis (bench GK)	GK	£4.7m	3.4	0.00	0.00	35%	90'

Close calls — if you'd rather

GK alternatives

Rushworth COV£4.5m · 3.2

Pickford EVE£5.5m · 3.2

Horníček NEW£5.0m · 3.1

DEF alternatives

Mitchell CRY£4.5m · 4.6

Giles HUL£4.0m · 4.5

Castagne FUL£4.5m · 4.3

MID alternatives

Gibbs-White NFO£8.0m · 4.9

Rudoni COV£4.9m · 4.7

Tavernier BOU£6.1m · 4.7

FWD alternatives

Haaland MCI£15.6m · 5.1

Thiago BRE£7.8m · 4.1

Isak LIV£9.1m · 4.0

Not modeled (and said so): bonus points, saves, defensive-contribution points, cards, future price changes. A £14m star can lose to two £7m starters on points-per-pound — that is the optimizer being honest, not forgetful; the premiums sit in the alternatives for the captaincy-faithful. Probabilities, never advice — full record at /model.