Premier League · every week since 2021
Gameweeks
The week ahead, then the graded record of every week since 2021. No week is hidden, including the bad ones.
Called 12 of 19finished matches this round — every call frozen before kickoff, graded at full time
Latest graded round
MUN — IPS5–2
✓ calledgave this 74%
SUN — FUL1–0
✓ calledgave this 38%
CHE — BHA4–3
✓ calledgave this 43%
LEE — BRE1–1
✗ missedgave this 25%
TOT — NEW0–2
✓ calledgave this 38%
BOU — EVE1–1
✗ missedgave this 24%
COV — HUL0–1
✗ missedgave this 30%
LIV — NOT2–2
✗ missedgave this 22%
CRY — MCI1–4
✓ calledgave this 49%
FUL — CHE2–3
✓ calledgave this 39%
NEW — LIV2–2
✗ missedgave this 25%
MCI — BOU2–1
✓ calledgave this 58%
BHA — AVL4–0
✓ calledgave this 44%
BRE — TOT3–0
✓ calledgave this 51%
IPS — SUN2–1
✗ missedgave this 26%
NOT — LEE0–1
✓ calledgave this 37%
EVE — CRY2–0
✓ calledgave this 39%
HUL — MUN2–0
✗ missedgave this 16%
ARS — COV3–0
✓ calledgave this 83%
This week · 10 fixtures assessed
AVL — ARSMon 20:00
H 20%D 25%A 55%
CRY — MCI1–4
H 27%D 24%A 49%
LIV — NOT2–2
H 60%D 22%A 18%
BOU — EVE1–1
H 55%D 24%A 21%
COV — HUL0–1
H 43%D 28%A 30%
TOT — NEW0–2
H 36%D 26%A 38%
SUN — FUL1–0
H 38%D 29%A 33%
CHE — BHA4–3
H 43%D 25%A 32%
LEE — BRE1–1
H 41%D 25%A 33%
MUN — IPS5–2
H 74%D 17%A 10%
Full board with markets and scorer projections: matchday.
2025/26 · 0.2077 against the market's 0.2056 · 36 weeks
| Week of | Matches | Engine RPS | Market RPS | Difference | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 13 | 0.2226 | 0.2316 | -0.0090 | 31% |
| 2026-05-11 | 9 | 0.1828 | 0.2109 | -0.0281 | 44% |
| 2026-05-04 | 11 | 0.1729 | 0.1734 | -0.0005 | 36% |
| 2026-04-27 | 9 | 0.1800 | 0.1654 | +0.0146 | 78% |
| 2026-04-20 | 10 | 0.1915 | 0.1594 | +0.0322 | 50% |
| 2026-04-13 | 10 | 0.2228 | 0.2144 | +0.0084 | 40% |
| 2026-04-06 | 9 | 0.2204 | 0.2257 | -0.0053 | 67% |
| 2026-03-16 | 9 | 0.2542 | 0.2505 | +0.0037 | 22% |
| 2026-03-09 | 9 | 0.1901 | 0.1870 | +0.0030 | 33% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10 | 0.2759 | 0.2796 | -0.0037 | 50% |
| 2026-02-23 | 11 | 0.1988 | 0.1895 | +0.0093 | 73% |
| 2026-02-16 | 10 | 0.1996 | 0.1938 | +0.0058 | 50% |
| 2026-02-09 | 10 | 0.2092 | 0.2127 | -0.0035 | 50% |
| 2026-02-02 | 11 | 0.2067 | 0.2133 | -0.0066 | 55% |
| 2026-01-26 | 10 | 0.1498 | 0.1601 | -0.0103 | 50% |
| 2026-01-19 | 10 | 0.2897 | 0.2775 | +0.0121 | 40% |
| 2026-01-12 | 9 | 0.2910 | 0.2921 | -0.0011 | 22% |
| 2026-01-05 | 10 | 0.1862 | 0.1939 | -0.0077 | 40% |
| 2025-12-29 | 20 | 0.1672 | 0.1738 | -0.0066 | 40% |
| 2025-12-22 | 11 | 0.1980 | 0.2002 | -0.0022 | 64% |
| 2025-12-15 | 10 | 0.1667 | 0.1626 | +0.0041 | 50% |
| 2025-12-08 | 10 | 0.1786 | 0.1603 | +0.0183 | 80% |
| 2025-12-01 | 19 | 0.2275 | 0.2107 | +0.0168 | 42% |
| 2025-11-24 | 11 | 0.2046 | 0.2174 | -0.0128 | 55% |
| 2025-11-17 | 9 | 0.2263 | 0.2264 | -0.0001 | 67% |
| 2025-11-03 | 11 | 0.1830 | 0.1736 | +0.0095 | 55% |
| 2025-10-27 | 9 | 0.1938 | 0.1746 | +0.0192 | 78% |
| 2025-10-20 | 11 | 0.2622 | 0.2848 | -0.0226 | 55% |
| 2025-10-13 | 9 | 0.2636 | 0.2409 | +0.0227 | 44% |
| 2025-09-29 | 11 | 0.1827 | 0.1543 | +0.0285 | 55% |
| 2025-09-22 | 9 | 0.2305 | 0.2685 | -0.0380 | 44% |
| 2025-09-15 | 10 | 0.1828 | 0.1716 | +0.0112 | 40% |
| 2025-09-08 | 10 | 0.1347 | 0.1347 | +0.0000 | 70% |
| 2025-08-25 | 11 | 0.2658 | 0.2764 | -0.0106 | 55% |
| 2025-08-18 | 10 | 0.2253 | 0.2189 | +0.0064 | 50% |
| 2025-08-11 | 9 | 0.1708 | 0.1499 | +0.0209 | 44% |
2024/25 · 0.1959 against the market's 0.1973 · 36 weeks
| Week of | Matches | Engine RPS | Market RPS | Difference | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-19 | 13 | 0.2123 | 0.2151 | -0.0028 | 62% |
| 2025-05-12 | 7 | 0.1900 | 0.1729 | +0.0171 | 71% |
| 2025-05-05 | 11 | 0.2401 | 0.2565 | -0.0164 | 27% |
| 2025-04-28 | 10 | 0.2322 | 0.1976 | +0.0347 | 50% |
| 2025-04-21 | 10 | 0.1378 | 0.1283 | +0.0095 | 70% |
| 2025-04-14 | 11 | 0.1937 | 0.1846 | +0.0091 | 55% |
| 2025-04-07 | 10 | 0.1849 | 0.1743 | +0.0106 | 50% |
| 2025-03-31 | 19 | 0.2086 | 0.1980 | +0.0106 | 58% |
| 2025-03-10 | 9 | 0.1745 | 0.1958 | -0.0213 | 67% |
| 2025-03-03 | 9 | 0.1665 | 0.1608 | +0.0057 | 44% |
| 2025-02-24 | 10 | 0.1507 | 0.1462 | +0.0045 | 70% |
| 2025-02-17 | 11 | 0.2711 | 0.2681 | +0.0030 | 45% |
| 2025-02-10 | 11 | 0.1845 | 0.2097 | -0.0252 | 64% |
| 2025-02-03 | 1 | 0.0609 | 0.0506 | +0.0103 | 100% |
| 2025-01-27 | 9 | 0.2695 | 0.2893 | -0.0198 | 44% |
| 2025-01-20 | 11 | 0.2226 | 0.2313 | -0.0087 | 55% |
| 2025-01-13 | 19 | 0.1732 | 0.1866 | -0.0134 | 58% |
| 2025-01-06 | 1 | 0.1765 | 0.2085 | -0.0321 | 100% |
| 2024-12-30 | 13 | 0.1929 | 0.1947 | -0.0018 | 46% |
| 2024-12-23 | 16 | 0.1731 | 0.1896 | -0.0165 | 56% |
| 2024-12-16 | 11 | 0.2147 | 0.2215 | -0.0067 | 36% |
| 2024-12-09 | 10 | 0.2613 | 0.2544 | +0.0068 | 50% |
| 2024-12-02 | 18 | 0.1727 | 0.1918 | -0.0191 | 61% |
| 2024-11-25 | 11 | 0.1823 | 0.1862 | -0.0039 | 64% |
| 2024-11-18 | 9 | 0.2369 | 0.2269 | +0.0100 | 33% |
| 2024-11-04 | 11 | 0.2517 | 0.2439 | +0.0078 | 45% |
| 2024-10-28 | 9 | 0.2023 | 0.2223 | -0.0200 | 33% |
| 2024-10-21 | 11 | 0.1582 | 0.1850 | -0.0268 | 55% |
| 2024-10-14 | 9 | 0.2482 | 0.2389 | +0.0093 | 56% |
| 2024-09-30 | 11 | 0.1502 | 0.1560 | -0.0058 | 55% |
| 2024-09-23 | 9 | 0.1874 | 0.1739 | +0.0135 | 44% |
| 2024-09-16 | 10 | 0.1498 | 0.1415 | +0.0083 | 40% |
| 2024-09-09 | 10 | 0.2235 | 0.2124 | +0.0112 | 60% |
| 2024-08-26 | 10 | 0.1700 | 0.1691 | +0.0009 | 50% |
| 2024-08-19 | 11 | 0.1763 | 0.1564 | +0.0200 | 64% |
| 2024-08-12 | 9 | 0.1454 | 0.1422 | +0.0032 | 78% |
2023/24 · 0.1905 against the market's 0.1836 · 37 weeks
| Week of | Matches | Engine RPS | Market RPS | Difference | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-13 | 14 | 0.1827 | 0.1431 | +0.0396 | 64% |
| 2024-05-06 | 10 | 0.1659 | 0.1576 | +0.0083 | 80% |
| 2024-04-29 | 10 | 0.1164 | 0.1290 | -0.0125 | 80% |
| 2024-04-22 | 16 | 0.1779 | 0.1790 | -0.0011 | 56% |
| 2024-04-15 | 8 | 0.1606 | 0.1532 | +0.0074 | 88% |
| 2024-04-08 | 9 | 0.2649 | 0.2829 | -0.0181 | 33% |
| 2024-04-01 | 20 | 0.1510 | 0.1587 | -0.0077 | 55% |
| 2024-03-25 | 10 | 0.1326 | 0.1412 | -0.0086 | 50% |
| 2024-03-11 | 6 | 0.2125 | 0.2056 | +0.0069 | 33% |
| 2024-03-04 | 10 | 0.1705 | 0.1598 | +0.0107 | 50% |
| 2024-02-26 | 10 | 0.1904 | 0.1672 | +0.0232 | 60% |
| 2024-02-19 | 10 | 0.1372 | 0.1333 | +0.0039 | 70% |
| 2024-02-12 | 10 | 0.2187 | 0.1934 | +0.0253 | 70% |
| 2024-02-05 | 10 | 0.2141 | 0.1917 | +0.0224 | 80% |
| 2024-01-29 | 19 | 0.1968 | 0.1846 | +0.0122 | 47% |
| 2024-01-22 | 1 | 0.2322 | 0.1877 | +0.0445 | 0% |
| 2024-01-15 | 4 | 0.1111 | 0.1081 | +0.0030 | 75% |
| 2024-01-08 | 5 | 0.1487 | 0.1235 | +0.0251 | 40% |
| 2024-01-01 | 2 | 0.1476 | 0.1016 | +0.0459 | 50% |
| 2023-12-25 | 18 | 0.2572 | 0.2529 | +0.0043 | 61% |
| 2023-12-18 | 9 | 0.3201 | 0.2911 | +0.0290 | 22% |
| 2023-12-11 | 9 | 0.1733 | 0.1717 | +0.0015 | 67% |
| 2023-12-04 | 20 | 0.2710 | 0.2468 | +0.0242 | 45% |
| 2023-11-27 | 11 | 0.1401 | 0.1477 | -0.0076 | 64% |
| 2023-11-20 | 9 | 0.2146 | 0.2314 | -0.0169 | 56% |
| 2023-11-06 | 11 | 0.2465 | 0.2092 | +0.0373 | 45% |
| 2023-10-30 | 9 | 0.2210 | 0.2456 | -0.0246 | 56% |
| 2023-10-23 | 11 | 0.1656 | 0.1638 | +0.0018 | 64% |
| 2023-10-16 | 9 | 0.1143 | 0.1271 | -0.0128 | 67% |
| 2023-10-02 | 12 | 0.1807 | 0.1549 | +0.0257 | 50% |
| 2023-09-25 | 9 | 0.2769 | 0.2945 | -0.0175 | 33% |
| 2023-09-18 | 11 | 0.1646 | 0.1630 | +0.0017 | 45% |
| 2023-09-11 | 9 | 0.1349 | 0.1207 | +0.0142 | 78% |
| 2023-08-28 | 10 | 0.1909 | 0.1874 | +0.0034 | 60% |
| 2023-08-21 | 11 | 0.2238 | 0.2004 | +0.0234 | 55% |
| 2023-08-14 | 9 | 0.1375 | 0.1706 | -0.0331 | 100% |
| 2023-08-07 | 9 | 0.1433 | 0.1332 | +0.0101 | 56% |
2022/23 · 0.2022 against the market's 0.1993 · 34 weeks
| Week of | Matches | Engine RPS | Market RPS | Difference | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-22 | 13 | 0.1927 | 0.1765 | +0.0162 | 46% |
| 2023-05-15 | 11 | 0.1853 | 0.1898 | -0.0045 | 55% |
| 2023-05-08 | 12 | 0.2512 | 0.2362 | +0.0151 | 58% |
| 2023-05-01 | 12 | 0.1578 | 0.1544 | +0.0033 | 67% |
| 2023-04-24 | 18 | 0.1817 | 0.1862 | -0.0045 | 67% |
| 2023-04-17 | 9 | 0.1653 | 0.1770 | -0.0117 | 67% |
| 2023-04-10 | 9 | 0.2731 | 0.2729 | +0.0001 | 33% |
| 2023-04-03 | 17 | 0.2081 | 0.1946 | +0.0135 | 59% |
| 2023-03-27 | 9 | 0.1905 | 0.1993 | -0.0088 | 56% |
| 2023-03-13 | 9 | 0.1568 | 0.1595 | -0.0027 | 56% |
| 2023-03-06 | 11 | 0.1913 | 0.1866 | +0.0046 | 55% |
| 2023-02-27 | 11 | 0.1476 | 0.1447 | +0.0029 | 82% |
| 2023-02-20 | 8 | 0.1540 | 0.1610 | -0.0070 | 63% |
| 2023-02-13 | 12 | 0.2641 | 0.2764 | -0.0123 | 50% |
| 2023-02-06 | 10 | 0.1885 | 0.1858 | +0.0027 | 30% |
| 2023-01-30 | 10 | 0.2790 | 0.2804 | -0.0014 | 40% |
| 2023-01-23 | 1 | 0.1630 | 0.1918 | -0.0288 | 100% |
| 2023-01-16 | 11 | 0.1371 | 0.1336 | +0.0035 | 45% |
| 2023-01-09 | 11 | 0.2514 | 0.2422 | +0.0092 | 45% |
| 2023-01-02 | 10 | 0.2077 | 0.2223 | -0.0146 | 40% |
| 2022-12-26 | 20 | 0.2078 | 0.1995 | +0.0083 | 60% |
| 2022-11-07 | 10 | 0.2989 | 0.2819 | +0.0169 | 50% |
| 2022-10-31 | 10 | 0.2260 | 0.2160 | +0.0100 | 40% |
| 2022-10-24 | 11 | 0.1786 | 0.1737 | +0.0049 | 73% |
| 2022-10-17 | 18 | 0.2560 | 0.2464 | +0.0095 | 39% |
| 2022-10-10 | 11 | 0.1706 | 0.1691 | +0.0015 | 36% |
| 2022-10-03 | 10 | 0.1884 | 0.1699 | +0.0185 | 70% |
| 2022-09-26 | 9 | 0.1967 | 0.1820 | +0.0147 | 44% |
| 2022-09-12 | 7 | 0.1765 | 0.1737 | +0.0028 | 71% |
| 2022-08-29 | 20 | 0.1913 | 0.1862 | +0.0052 | 50% |
| 2022-08-22 | 11 | 0.1560 | 0.1442 | +0.0118 | 64% |
| 2022-08-15 | 10 | 0.2597 | 0.2654 | -0.0056 | 40% |
| 2022-08-08 | 9 | 0.1636 | 0.1724 | -0.0088 | 44% |
| 2022-08-01 | 10 | 0.1814 | 0.2007 | -0.0193 | 60% |
2021/22 · 0.1949 against the market's 0.1889 · 36 weeks
| Week of | Matches | Engine RPS | Market RPS | Difference | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-16 | 15 | 0.1853 | 0.1671 | +0.0183 | 60% |
| 2022-05-09 | 13 | 0.1384 | 0.1489 | -0.0105 | 62% |
| 2022-05-02 | 11 | 0.1792 | 0.1758 | +0.0034 | 73% |
| 2022-04-25 | 11 | 0.1914 | 0.1784 | +0.0131 | 64% |
| 2022-04-18 | 15 | 0.1611 | 0.1534 | +0.0077 | 53% |
| 2022-04-11 | 6 | 0.2586 | 0.2696 | -0.0109 | 33% |
| 2022-04-04 | 12 | 0.2694 | 0.2830 | -0.0136 | 58% |
| 2022-03-28 | 9 | 0.1843 | 0.1977 | -0.0134 | 56% |
| 2022-03-14 | 8 | 0.2186 | 0.2221 | -0.0035 | 75% |
| 2022-03-07 | 14 | 0.1860 | 0.1926 | -0.0065 | 71% |
| 2022-02-28 | 10 | 0.1653 | 0.1727 | -0.0073 | 80% |
| 2022-02-21 | 12 | 0.2026 | 0.1936 | +0.0090 | 58% |
| 2022-02-14 | 11 | 0.2629 | 0.2503 | +0.0126 | 64% |
| 2022-02-07 | 18 | 0.1828 | 0.1821 | +0.0007 | 44% |
| 2022-01-31 | 1 | 0.1436 | 0.1320 | +0.0116 | 0% |
| 2022-01-17 | 13 | 0.2491 | 0.2178 | +0.0313 | 38% |
| 2022-01-10 | 10 | 0.2085 | 0.1891 | +0.0195 | 40% |
| 2022-01-03 | 1 | 0.4495 | 0.5428 | -0.0933 | 0% |
| 2021-12-27 | 15 | 0.1781 | 0.1930 | -0.0150 | 67% |
| 2021-12-20 | 6 | 0.1803 | 0.1475 | +0.0329 | 83% |
| 2021-12-13 | 11 | 0.1727 | 0.1645 | +0.0083 | 45% |
| 2021-12-06 | 10 | 0.1278 | 0.1275 | +0.0002 | 80% |
| 2021-11-29 | 19 | 0.1620 | 0.1382 | +0.0238 | 53% |
| 2021-11-22 | 9 | 0.1516 | 0.1396 | +0.0120 | 56% |
| 2021-11-15 | 10 | 0.2496 | 0.2069 | +0.0427 | 40% |
| 2021-11-01 | 11 | 0.2483 | 0.2301 | +0.0181 | 45% |
| 2021-10-25 | 9 | 0.2844 | 0.2900 | -0.0056 | 56% |
| 2021-10-18 | 11 | 0.2125 | 0.1872 | +0.0252 | 45% |
| 2021-10-11 | 9 | 0.2098 | 0.1899 | +0.0199 | 56% |
| 2021-09-27 | 11 | 0.1556 | 0.1644 | -0.0088 | 45% |
| 2021-09-20 | 9 | 0.2097 | 0.2500 | -0.0402 | 44% |
| 2021-09-13 | 11 | 0.1946 | 0.2136 | -0.0189 | 73% |
| 2021-09-06 | 9 | 0.1843 | 0.1532 | +0.0311 | 67% |
| 2021-08-23 | 11 | 0.1637 | 0.1540 | +0.0097 | 45% |
| 2021-08-16 | 9 | 0.1407 | 0.1201 | +0.0206 | 67% |
| 2021-08-09 | 10 | 0.2173 | 0.2106 | +0.0068 | 70% |
Walk-forward record: each week was predicted by an engine fitted only on matches before it, then graded at full time. Lower RPS is better. Probabilities, never advice — the point of the record is that beating the market is hard, and we show exactly how hard.