Bundesliga · 2026/27 season
The justice table
updated 2026-08-31
Where each side would sit on the chances they created and conceded, rather than on the results they got. Gap = points − xPts (deserved points): green is running hot, red is owed. On matchdays, positions update within the hour of each full time.
| Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2 | 3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | +0.9 | +0.2 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | +1.6 | -0.1 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 1 | 3 | 2.9 | +0.1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.8 | -2.5 | +1.8 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 3 | 2.9 | +0.1 | 2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | -0.8 | +1.2 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | +0.7 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Köln | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 | 7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | +0.7 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 1 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4 | 14 | 1.4 | 2.6 | +1.6 | +0.6 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | +0.7 | -0.9 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 10 | 2.1 | 2.3 | +0.9 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Paderborn | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 13 | 0.7 | 1.5 | -0.7 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -1.5 | +0.7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 12 | 1.9 | 2.3 | +0.1 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2 | 5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -1.1 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 15 | 0.9 | 2.4 | +0.1 | -1.6 |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 18 | 1.8 | 5.5 | -1.8 | +2.5 |
| 17 | Gladbach | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 17 | 1.2 | 3.8 | -1.2 | +0.8 |
| 18 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 16 | 1.2 | 4.1 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
18 clubs · sample: 9 matches this season. Points are the competition's official totals wherever it has seen the same matches we have, so a points deduction shows beside the club. Where the official table is a round ahead of our results, points are counted from those results instead.
What these columns mean
- xPts
- The points a club would average if its matches were replayed many times over, given the chances created and conceded in them. A club can win a game it would usually lose and bank three points the chances did not earn.
- Gap
- Points minus expected points. Positive means a club is ahead of what its chances have been worth. It measures what has already happened — it is not a forecast that the gap will close.
- xPos
- The league position implied by expected points. Read it next to the real position: the two rarely match, and the distance is the argument the table is making.
- xG / xGA
- Chance quality created, and chance quality conceded, across the season. The difference between them is the single number closest to "how good has this team actually been" — a club can be flattered by results for a long time, but not by both of these at once.
- Finishing / Keeping
- Goals scored minus the chance quality that produced them, and the same for the goalkeeper in reverse. Both are descriptions of what happened, not ratings of skill — at player level, finishing above expectation in one season has essentially no relationship with the next, and nothing here claims clubs are different.