Bundesliga · 2026/27

Mainz 0551Index54Attack45Defense

LWLWD

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded, against 198 club-seasons of this league

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Percentile against 198 club-seasons of league history, 2025 season. Higher is better on every spoke, including the ones where a low raw number is the good one. n = 198 club-seasons.

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home0-1-24–7 goals · 6–5 xG

Away2-0-09–3 goals · 7–3 xG

Open play77%
From corners23%

Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 13.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	10	76.9%
From corners	3	23.1%

Where Mainz 05's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play90%
Penalties10%

Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 10.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	9	90.0%
Penalties	1	10.0%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Nadiem Amiri	10.7	6.6	12	2
Paul Nebel	5.8	5.3	5	2
Sheraldo Becker	4.8	3.5	3	3
Jae-Sung Lee	4.2	3.3	4	2
Kaishu Sano	1.6	3.6	1	2
Danny da Costa	2.4	2.8	2	3
Benedict Hollerbach	3.0	1.9	1	2
Silvan Widmer	2.7	1.8	2	1
Philipp Mwene	2.0	2.1	1	2
Dominik Kohr	1.9	1.9	2	0

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 5 time points.
matchday (1–5)	xG created	xG conceded
1	1.6	0.69
2	3.3	0.26
3	2.2	2.2
4	3.5	3.1
5	2.2	2.3

Per-match chance quality across 5 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Sheraldo BeckerG+A 0.6620% goal

Phillip TietzG+A 0.5935% goal

Nadiem AmiriG+A 0.5222% goal

Philipp MweneG+A 0.2913% goal

Anthony CaciG+A 0.266% goal

Kaishu SanoG+A 0.214% goal

Jae-Sung LeeG+A 0.1711% goal

Kacper PotulskiG+A 0.108% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Mainz 05 has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	26th
Aerial	93rd
Crossing	93rd
Carrying	32nd
Big chances	99th
Close range	99th
Chance quality	99th

Where Mainz 05's threat comes from. Strongest trait: big chances (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	81st
Aerial	93rd
Crossing	99th
Carrying	1st
Big chances	44th
Close range	87th
Chance quality	38th

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: crossing (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	Paderborn	0-0	1.6	0.7	2.0	1
2	@ Hamburger SV	5-0	3.3	0.3	3.0	3
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3	2.2	2.2	1.8	0
4	@ Gladbach	4-3	3.5	3.1	1.7	3
5	Leverkusen	3-4	2.2	2.3	1.3	0

Latest results

2026-10-10Mainz 053–4LeverkusenxG 2.2–2.3

2026-09-19Gladbach3–4Mainz 05xG 3.1–3.5

2026-09-12Mainz 051–3Eintracht FrankfurtxG 2.2–2.2

2026-09-06Hamburger SV0–5Mainz 05xG 0.3–3.3

2026-08-29Mainz 050–0PaderbornxG 1.6–0.7