Bundesliga · 2026/27

Bayern99Index99Attack93Defense

DWWDW

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded, against 198 club-seasons of this league

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Percentile against 198 club-seasons of league history, 2025 season. Higher is better on every spoke, including the ones where a low raw number is the good one. n = 198 club-seasons.

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home2-0-012–1 goals · 8–2 xG

Away1-2-04–3 goals · 10–3 xG

Open play80%
Set pieces7%
Penalties7%
From corners7%

Proportional breakdown — 4 categories totalling 15.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	12	80.0%
Set pieces	1	6.7%
Penalties	1	6.7%
From corners	1	6.7%

Where Bayern's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play100%

Proportional breakdown — 1 categories totalling 4.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	4	100.0%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Harry Kane	29.6	7.4	36	5
Michael Olise	11.5	17.0	15	19
Luis Díaz	14.9	10.1	15	14
Serge Gnabry	6.3	5.2	8	6
Nicolas Jackson	8.5	2.1	8	1
Joshua Kimmich	2.4	7.6	2	8
Lennart Karl	7.1	2.8	5	5
Konrad Laimer	2.8	5.0	3	9
Jamal Musiala	5.0	2.7	3	4
Leon Goretzka	4.9	2.3	5	3

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 5 time points.
matchday (1–5)	xG created	xG conceded
1	4.1	1.3
2	2.0	0.25
3	3.1	1.0
4	4.1	0.47
5	4.6	2.0

Per-match chance quality across 5 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Harry KaneG+A 1.0246% goal

Michael OliseG+A 0.9133% goal

Luis DíazG+A 0.7730% goal

Joshua KimmichG+A 0.352% goal

Alphonso DaviesG+A 0.344% goal

Aleksandar PavlovicG+A 0.257% goal

Jamal MusialaG+A 0.2513% goal

Josip StanisicG+A 0.184% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Bayern has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	7th
Aerial	1st
Crossing	7th
Carrying	75th
Big chances	75th
Close range	38th
Chance quality	87th

Where Bayern's threat comes from. Strongest trait: chance quality (87th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	99th
Aerial	13th
Crossing	32nd
Carrying	26th
Big chances	38th
Close range	56th
Chance quality	32nd

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: set-piece threat (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	VfB Stuttgart	5-1	4.1	1.3	2.8	3
2	@ Schalke 04	0-0	2.0	0.3	2.6	1
3	@ Elversberg	2-1	3.1	1.0	2.6	3
4	Union Berlin	7-0	4.1	0.5	3.0	3
5	@ Augsburg	2-2	4.6	2.0	2.7	1

Latest results

2026-10-10Augsburg2–2BayernxG 2.0–4.6

2026-09-18Bayern7–0Union BerlinxG 4.1–0.5

2026-09-13Elversberg1–2BayernxG 1.0–3.1

2026-09-05Schalke 040–0BayernxG 0.3–2.0

2026-08-28Bayern5–1VfB StuttgartxG 4.1–1.3