Bundesliga · 2026/27

Köln37Index41Attack31Defense

WLDLW

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded, against 198 club-seasons of this league

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Percentile against 198 club-seasons of league history, 2025 season. Higher is better on every spoke, including the ones where a low raw number is the good one. n = 198 club-seasons.

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home2-1-06–4 goals · 6–4 xG

Away0-0-22–6 goals · 5–6 xG

Open play75%
Set pieces13%
From corners13%

Proportional breakdown — 3 categories totalling 8.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	6	75.0%
Set pieces	1	12.5%
From corners	1	12.5%

Where Köln's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play60%
From corners30%
Set pieces10%

Proportional breakdown — 3 categories totalling 10.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	6	60.0%
From corners	3	30.0%
Set pieces	1	10.0%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Said El Mala	12.6	4.2	13	4
Ragnar Ache	11.0	3.0	7	4
Jakub Kaminski	8.0	5.6	7	3
Marius Bülter	4.0	4.7	5	4
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt	5.9	2.6	5	5
Linton Maina	1.3	3.2	2	0
Sebastian Sebulonsen	1.5	2.8	0	0
Eric Martel	1.8	2.1	2	2
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	1.4	2.4	2	2
Alessio Castro-Montes	1.3	2.3	1	3

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 5 time points.
matchday (1–5)	xG created	xG conceded
1	2.3	1.9
2	2.9	3.5
3	1.6	1.2
4	2.2	2.1
5	1.5	1.0

Per-match chance quality across 5 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Said El MalaG+A 0.3719% goal

Linton MainaG+A 0.363% goal

Marius BülterG+A 0.1911% goal

Ragnar AcheG+A 0.1611% goal

Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonG+A 0.164% goal

Alessio Castro-MontesG+A 0.136% goal

Tom KraußG+A 0.094% goal

Ellyes SkhiriG+A 0.083% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Köln has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	19th
Aerial	26th
Crossing	26th
Carrying	93rd
Big chances	50th
Close range	75th
Chance quality	56th

Where Köln's threat comes from. Strongest trait: carrying (93rd percentile). as of 2026-10-11

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	68th
Aerial	87th
Crossing	50th
Carrying	68th
Big chances	56th
Close range	62nd
Chance quality	68th

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: aerial (87th percentile). as of 2026-10-11

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	Hoffenheim	3-2	2.3	1.9	1.6	3
2	@ VfB Stuttgart	1-4	2.9	3.5	1.0	0
3	Werder Bremen	1-1	1.6	1.2	1.7	1
4	@ Hamburger SV	1-2	2.2	2.1	1.4	0
5	Gladbach	2-1	1.5	1.0	1.8	3

Latest results

2026-10-11Köln2–1GladbachxG 1.5–1.0

2026-09-19Hamburger SV2–1KölnxG 2.1–2.2

2026-09-12Köln1–1Werder BremenxG 1.6–1.2

2026-09-04VfB Stuttgart4–1KölnxG 3.5–2.9

2026-08-29Köln3–2HoffenheimxG 2.3–1.9