Ligue 1 · 2026/27 season

The justice table

updated 2026-10-15

Where each side would sit on the chances they created and conceded, rather than on the results they got. Gap = points − xPts (deserved points): green is running hot, red is owed. On matchdays, positions update within the hour of each full time.

Regression watch:Monaco +5.8Lille +4.9Brest -4.7Toulouse -4.4

	Team
1	Monaco	6	14	8.2	+5.8	8	7.4	8.0	+2.6	+3.0
2	Lille	6	13	8.1	+4.9	9	8.7	9.7	+0.3	+5.7
3	Rennes	6	13	9.5	+3.5	7	13.4	11.8	-1.4	+1.8
4	Lyon	6	11	10.2	+0.8	5	11.0	7.3	0.0	+3.3
5	Paris FC	6	11	12.9	-1.9	1	10.3	3.8	-2.3	-0.2
6	PSG	6	11	12.2	-1.2	3	15.7	9.0	-4.7	+1.0
7	Brest	6	8	12.7	-4.7	2	14.9	7.0	-2.9	-2.0
8	Lorient	6	8	7.4	+0.6	10	6.3	7.1	-0.3	+1.1
9	Nice	6	8	6.6	+1.4	13	7.0	10.2	-2.0	+3.2
10	Lens	6	7	9.9	-2.9	6	13.9	9.3	-2.9	-0.7
11	Strasbourg	6	7	5.1	+1.9	17	6.9	11.2	+4.1	-0.8
12	Angers	6	7	7.3	-0.3	11	9.6	11.6	-2.6	+1.6
13	Marseille	6	6	6.7	-0.7	12	9.8	13.4	-0.8	+5.4
14	Le Mans	6	6	6.1	-0.1	15	10.0	14.7	0.0	+2.7
15	Toulouse	6	6	10.4	-4.4	4	12.0	9.5	-3.0	-1.5
16	Auxerre	6	6	6.6	-0.6	14	8.1	12.7	-0.1	-3.3
17	Troyes	6	4	5.0	-1.0	18	7.4	11.8	-3.4	-1.2
18	Le Havre	6	2	5.4	-3.4	16	7.4	11.6	-3.4	+3.6

18 clubs · sample: 54 matches this season. Points are the competition's official totals wherever it has seen the same matches we have, so a points deduction shows beside the club. Where the official table is a round ahead of our results, points are counted from those results instead.

What these columns mean

xPts: The points a club would average if its matches were replayed many times over, given the chances created and conceded in them. A club can win a game it would usually lose and bank three points the chances did not earn.
Gap: Points minus expected points. Positive means a club is ahead of what its chances have been worth. It measures what has already happened — it is not a forecast that the gap will close.
xPos: The league position implied by expected points. Read it next to the real position: the two rarely match, and the distance is the argument the table is making.
xG / xGA: Chance quality created, and chance quality conceded, across the season. The difference between them is the single number closest to "how good has this team actually been" — a club can be flattered by results for a long time, but not by both of these at once.
Finishing / Keeping: Goals scored minus the chance quality that produced them, and the same for the goalkeeper in reverse. Both are descriptions of what happened, not ratings of skill — at player level, finishing above expectation in one season has essentially no relationship with the next, and nothing here claims clubs are different.