Ligue 1 · 2026/27

Brest46Index53Attack36Defense

WLLWD

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded, against 216 club-seasons of this league

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Percentile against 216 club-seasons of league history, 2025 season. Higher is better on every spoke, including the ones where a low raw number is the good one. n = 216 club-seasons.

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home1-1-17–4 goals · 9–4 xG

Away1-1-15–5 goals · 6–3 xG

Open play50%
Penalties17%
Set pieces17%
From corners17%

Proportional breakdown — 4 categories totalling 12.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	6	50.0%
Penalties	2	16.7%
Set pieces	2	16.7%
From corners	2	16.7%

Where Brest's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play75%
Set pieces13%
Penalties13%

Proportional breakdown — 3 categories totalling 8.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	6	75.0%
Set pieces	1	12.5%
Penalties	1	12.5%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Romain Del Castillo	8.4	6.6	9	3
Ludovic Ajorque	9.9	3.8	8	9
Kamory Doumbia	5.0	4.4	5	4
Remy Labeau Lascary	5.3	2.7	5	1
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe	4.4	1.2	5	0
Pathé Mboup	3.5	1.5	1	0
Kenny Lala	0.2	3.7	0	3
Mama Baldé	3.0	0.5	2	2
Brendan Chardonnet	1.0	2.5	1	3
Joris Chotard	1.3	0.5	2	1

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 6 time points.
matchday (1–6)	xG created	xG conceded
1	2.6	0.77
2	3.6	1.3
3	3.0	1.6
4	1.2	1.3
5	0.30	0.77
6	4.0	1.2

Per-match chance quality across 6 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Kamory DoumbiaG+A 0.3221% goal

Ludovic AjorqueG+A 0.3013% goal

Pathé MboupG+A 0.2713% goal

Joris ChotardG+A 0.172% goal

Mama BaldéG+A 0.116% goal

Kenny LalaG+A 0.094% goal

Hugo MagnettiG+A 0.091% goal

Lucas TousartG+A 0.075% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Brest has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	99th
Aerial	99th
Crossing	93rd
Carrying	7th
Big chances	7th
Close range	32nd
Chance quality	7th

Where Brest's threat comes from. Strongest trait: set-piece threat (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	13th
Aerial	13th
Crossing	44th
Carrying	38th
Big chances	56th
Close range	7th
Chance quality	44th

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: big chances (56th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	@ Le Mans	2-2	2.6	0.8	2.7	1
2	Toulouse	2-2	3.6	1.3	2.8	1
3	@ Le Havre	2-1	3.0	1.6	2.3	3
4	PSG	0-1	1.2	1.3	1.3	0
5	@ Auxerre	1-2	0.3	0.8	0.8	0
6	Angers	5-1	4.0	1.2	2.8	3

Latest results

2026-10-10Brest5–1AngersxG 4.0–1.2

2026-09-20Auxerre2–1BrestxG 0.8–0.3

2026-09-13Brest0–1PSGxG 1.2–1.3

2026-09-05Le Havre1–2BrestxG 1.6–3.0

2026-08-29Brest2–2ToulousexG 3.6–1.3

2026-08-22Le Mans2–2BrestxG 0.8–2.6