Bundesliga · 2026/27

Paderborn

LWLLD

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home1-0-23–4 goals · 4–5 xG

Away0-1-10–3 goals · 1–5 xG

Open play67%
From corners33%

Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 3.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	2	66.7%
From corners	1	33.3%

Where Paderborn's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play86%
Set pieces14%

Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 7.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	6	85.7%
Set pieces	1	14.3%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 5 time points.
matchday (1–5)	xG created	xG conceded
1	0.69	1.6
2	0.73	1.2
3	0.31	3.1
4	1.3	1.7
5	2.1	2.6

Per-match chance quality across 5 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Marvin PieringerG+A 0.2313% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Paderborn has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	87th
Aerial	19th
Crossing	38th
Carrying	13th
Big chances	1st
Close range	7th
Chance quality	1st

Where Paderborn's threat comes from. Strongest trait: set-piece threat (87th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	19th
Aerial	38th
Crossing	93rd
Carrying	56th
Big chances	87th
Close range	81st
Chance quality	81st

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: crossing (93rd percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	@ Mainz 05	0-0	0.7	1.6	0.7	1
2	Freiburg	0-1	0.7	1.2	0.9	0
3	@ Dortmund	0-3	0.3	3.1	0.1	0
4	Hoffenheim	3-1	1.3	1.7	1.1	3
5	VfB Stuttgart	0-2	2.1	2.6	1.1	0

Latest results

2026-10-10Paderborn0–2VfB StuttgartxG 2.1–2.6

2026-09-20Paderborn3–1HoffenheimxG 1.3–1.7

2026-09-12Dortmund3–0PaderbornxG 3.1–0.3

2026-09-05Paderborn0–1FreiburgxG 0.7–1.2

2026-08-29Mainz 050–0PaderbornxG 1.6–0.7