Bundesliga · 2026/27

Hamburger SV23Index21Attack30Defense

WWLLL

Assessed fixtures

Chances created and conceded, against 198 club-seasons of this league

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Percentile against 198 club-seasons of league history, 2025 season. Higher is better on every spoke, including the ones where a low raw number is the good one. n = 198 club-seasons.

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home1-0-12–6 goals · 2–5 xG

Away1-0-23–9 goals · 3–5 xG

Open play40%
From corners40%
Set pieces20%

Proportional breakdown — 3 categories totalling 5.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	2	40.0%
From corners	2	40.0%
Set pieces	1	20.0%

Where Hamburger SV's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play92%
Set pieces8%

Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 13.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	12	92.3%
Set pieces	1	7.7%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Fábio Vieira	4.9	4.6	7	5
Ransford Königsdörffer	8.1	1.3	5	0
Rayan Philippe	5.6	1.4	5	0
Jean-Luc Dompe	2.2	4.0	3	0
Luka Vuskovic	4.7	0.6	6	0
Miro Muheim	1.4	3.5	0	4
Nicolás Capaldo	2.7	1.8	1	3
William Mikelbrencis	1.5	2.8	0	4
Robert Glatzel	2.8	0.9	3	2
Nicolai Remberg	1.1	2.2	0	2

Chance quality, match by match

xG created
xG conceded

Time series — 2 series over 5 time points.
matchday (1–5)	xG created	xG conceded
1	1.1	1.3
2	0.26	3.3
3	0.51	2.5
4	2.1	2.2
5	1.5	0.93

Per-match chance quality across 5 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.

Squad projections — this week

Albert GrønbækG+A 0.283% goal

Nicolás CapaldoG+A 0.2612% goal

Fábio VieiraG+A 0.217% goal

Yussuf PoulsenG+A 0.1916% goal

Nicolai RembergG+A 0.131% goal

Albert Sambi LokongaG+A 0.114% goal

Bakery JattaG+A 0.033% goal

Otto StangeG+A 0.033% goal

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 17 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Hamburger SV has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	62nd
Aerial	13th
Crossing	32nd
Carrying	19th
Big chances	26th
Close range	13th
Chance quality	32nd

Where Hamburger SV's threat comes from. Strongest trait: set-piece threat (62nd percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	32nd
Aerial	50th
Crossing	38th
Carrying	81st
Big chances	81st
Close range	38th
Chance quality	56th

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: carrying (81st percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	@ Dortmund	0-2	1.1	1.3	1.2	0
2	Mainz 05	0-5	0.3	3.3	0.0	0
3	@ RB Leipzig	0-5	0.5	2.5	0.2	0
4	Köln	2-1	2.1	2.2	1.4	3
5	@ Hoffenheim	3-2	1.5	0.9	1.9	3

Latest results

2026-10-10Hoffenheim2–3Hamburger SVxG 0.9–1.5

2026-09-19Hamburger SV2–1KölnxG 2.1–2.2

2026-09-13RB Leipzig5–0Hamburger SVxG 2.5–0.5

2026-09-06Hamburger SV0–5Mainz 05xG 0.3–3.3

2026-08-29Dortmund2–0Hamburger SVxG 1.3–1.1