Nottingham Forest43Index42Attack47Defense

Chances created and conceded

Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches.

Assessed fixtures

at LIV

18% win

Squad projections — this week

Morgan Gibbs-WhiteG+A 0.6932% goal

Igor JesusG+A 0.6337% goal

Neco WilliamsG+A 0.329% goal

Dan NdoyeG+A 0.176% goal

James McAteeG+A 0.172% goal

Omari HutchinsonG+A 0.142% goal

Chris WoodG+A 0.1411% goal

Nicolás DomínguezG+A 0.123% goal

Points (2 played)

Expected points

4.0

Gap

-3.0

Table / xTable

15 / 4

Finishing

-1.5

Keeping

-1.3

Luck ledger · 2026/27

— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log · 2026/27

Game	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Pts
1	Leeds	0-1	0.7	0.5	1.5	0
2	@ Liverpool	2-2	2.9	1.3	2.5	1

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 19 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Forest has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Creating

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Creating
Set-piece threat	66th
Aerial	61st
Crossing	99th
Carrying	88th
Big chances	83rd
Close range	72nd
Chance quality	83rd

Where Forest's threat comes from. Strongest trait: crossing (99th percentile). as of 2026-08-29

Conceding

Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
Axis	Conceding
Set-piece threat	72nd
Aerial	1st
Crossing	72nd
Carrying	61st
Big chances	45th
Close range	1st
Chance quality	12th

The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: set-piece threat (72nd percentile). as of 2026-08-29

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Season shape · 2025/26

Home4-8-720–23 goals · 28–28 xG

Away7-3-928–28 goals · 21–37 xG

Open play72%
From corners15%
Penalties6%
Set pieces4%
Free kicks2%

Proportional breakdown — 5 categories totalling 47.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	34	72.3%
From corners	7	14.9%
Penalties	3	6.4%
Set pieces	2	4.3%
Free kicks	1	2.1%

Where Forest's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.

Open play65%
From corners17%
Penalties10%
Set pieces6%
Free kicks2%

Proportional breakdown — 5 categories totalling 48.
Category	Value	Share
Open play	31	64.6%
From corners	8	16.7%
Penalties	5	10.4%
Set pieces	3	6.3%
Free kicks	1	2.1%

Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.

Who carried the threat

Player	xG	xA	G	A
Morgan Gibbs-White	11.7	4.5	15	4
Igor Jesus	7.2	2.3	6	4
Taiwo Awoniyi	4.3	1.3	4	1
Elliot Anderson	3.4	4.8	4	4
Chris Wood	3.4	0.3	3	0
Callum Hudson-Odoi	3.0	3.9	3	4
Omari Hutchinson	2.2	4.9	1	5
Morato	1.9	0.1	1	0

Next up

5 Sept — vs Spurs
12 Sept — at Aston Villa
19 Sept — vs Coventry
11 Oct — at Crystal Palace
18 Oct — vs Arsenal