xG Index rankings

Our branded 0–100: teams from the engine's opponent-adjusted view of chance quality, players from position-relative per-90 percentiles. Formulas public at /model. Updated 2026-10-15.

Teams

#	Team	Overall	Attack	Defense
1	Arsenal	99	81	99
2	Manchester City	87	89	78
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	70	67	69
4	Manchester United	64	69	57
5	Liverpool	63	62	61
6	Bournemouth	61	63	57
7	Brentford	57	67	45
8	Leeds United	55	49	60
9	Chelsea	54	64	44
10	Nottingham Forest	47	47	48
11	Aston Villa	44	46	43
12	Everton	44	38	52
13	Newcastle United	43	52	35
14	Crystal Palace	39	53	27
15	Sunderland	39	36	44
16	Fulham	35	33	40
17	Tottenham Hotspur	35	26	48
18	Hull City	27	19	41
19	Coventry City	24	15	37
20	Ipswich Town	14	25	8

Players · min 450 minutes

The xG Index scores a player against others in his own position, so the numbers are only comparable down a column, never across one. Ranking a centre-back against a striker on it would say a 94th-percentile defender is a better player than an 86th-percentile striker, which is not what it measures — so the boards are separate.

Forwards

#	Player	xG Index
1	Erling Haaland MCI	82
2	Thierno Barry EVE	76
3	Gonzalo García FUL	62
4	Matheus Cunha MUN	55
5	Evanilson BOU	42
6	Kai Havertz ARS	40
7	Thiago BRE	39
8	Dominic Calvert-Lewin LEE	38
9	Yoane Wissa NEW	33
10	Oliver McBurnie HUL	31

Midfielders

#	Player	xG Index
1	Bryan Mbeumo MUN	88
2	Cole Palmer CHE	88
3	Martin Odegaard ARS	87
4	Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall EVE	85
5	Morgan Rogers CHE	83
6	Bruno Fernandes MUN	83
7	Julio Enciso IPS	81
8	Pascal Groß BHA	77
9	Bukayo Saka ARS	77
10	Joshua King FUL	77
11	Morgan Gibbs-White NOT	76
12	Maxim De Cuyper BHA	74
13	Marcus Tavernier BOU	72
14	Diego Gómez BHA	71
15	Antoine Semenyo MCI	64

Defenders

#	Player	xG Index
1	Riccardo Calafiori ARS	94
2	Leif Davis IPS	87
3	Josko Gvardiol MCI	86
4	Nordi Mukiele SUN	83
5	Keane Lewis-Potter BRE	82
6	Marc Guehi MCI	79
7	Lewis Hall NEW	73
8	Murillo NOT	69
9	Harry Maguire MUN	68
10	James Justin LEE	65
11	Gabriel ARS	64
12	Bobby Thomas COV	64
13	Kristoffer Ajer BRE	62
14	Olivier Boscagli BHA	62
15	Luka Vuskovic BHA	61

Goalkeepers

#	Player	xG Index
1	Matz Sels NOT	70
2	Emiliano Martinez CHE	69
3	Carl Rushworth COV	62
4	Antonín Kinsky TOT	59
5	Bernd Leno FUL	55
6	Bart Verbruggen BHA	53
7	Robin Roefs SUN	52
8	Caoimhin Kelleher BRE	51
9	Alisson LIV	50
10	Zion Suzuki AVL	50
11	David Raya ARS	48
12	Gianluigi Donnarumma MCI	47
13	Djordje Petrovic BOU	46
14	Senne Lammens MUN	43
15	Konstantinos Tzolakis HUL	42

This week’s projection leaders

Player	Fixture	Proj G+A	P(Goal)
Erling Haaland	vs IPS	1.45	59%
Mathis Cherki	vs IPS	1.06	33%
Thierno Barry	vs CHE	0.89	49%
Cole Palmer	at EVE	0.84	28%
Bryan Mbeumo	at LEE	0.80	38%
Maxim De Cuyper	vs CRY	0.79	21%
Marcus Tavernier	vs SUN	0.77	22%
Bukayo Saka	at NOT	0.75	32%
Bruno Fernandes	at LEE	0.72	22%
Pascal Groß	vs CRY	0.72	21%
Harvey Barnes	vs AVL	0.68	27%
Dominik Szoboszlai	at BRE	0.67	14%
Antoine Semenyo	vs IPS	0.66	18%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	vs MUN	0.64	40%
Evanilson	vs SUN	0.61	27%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	vs CHE	0.61	20%
Jack Rudoni	at TOT	0.60	30%
Yoane Wissa	vs AVL	0.59	32%
Enzo Le Fée	at BOU	0.59	16%
Thiago	vs LIV	0.57	36%