Chelsea54Index64Attack44Defense

Chances created and conceded
0.0+0.8+1.6+2.4+3.22026/27CHE
Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches. Chart R49bsnpfiv5snb.
Assessed fixtures · 8 this season
vs TOT
51% win
GW8
at EVE
36% win
GW7
vs BOU
✓ called
GW6
at BRE
✓ called
GW5
vs HUL
✗ missed
GW4
at ARS
✓ called
GW3
vs BHA
✓ called
GW2
at FUL
✓ called
GW1
Squad projections — this week
Cole PalmerG+A 0.8428% goal
João PedroG+A 0.5130% goal
Morgan RogersG+A 0.4319% goal
Romeo LaviaG+A 0.1813% goal
Pep ChavarríaG+A 0.141% goal
Maxence LacroixG+A 0.134% goal
Malo GustoG+A 0.091% goal
Jorrel HatoG+A 0.080% goal
Points (6 played)
10
Expected points
7.6
Gap
+2.4
Table / xTable
6 / 14
Finishing
+7.2
Keeping
-2.8

Luck ledger · 2026/27

061315
— points · - - expected points · hover for any game

Match log · 2026/27

GameOpponentScorexGxGAxPtsPts
1@ Fulham3-22.61.42.23
2Brighton4-31.30.03.03
3@ Arsenal1-20.42.80.10
4Hull2-21.21.80.91
5@ Brentford0-30.92.50.30
6Bournemouth5-11.41.71.13

Style profile · how they play, not how good they are

Each axis is a percentile against the 19 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Chelsea has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.

Style profile7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).Set-piece threat72ndAerial1stCrossing1stCarrying23rdBig chances1stClose range6thChance quality1st
  • Creating
Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
AxisCreating
Set-piece threat72nd
Aerial1st
Crossing1st
Carrying23rd
Big chances1st
Close range6th
Chance quality1st
Where Chelsea's threat comes from. Strongest trait: set-piece threat (72nd percentile). as of 2026-10-10
Style profile7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).Set-piece threat28thAerial12thCrossing88thCarrying34thBig chances94thClose range77thChance quality99th
  • Conceding
Style profile — 7-axis radar comparing 1 profile(s).
AxisConceding
Set-piece threat28th
Aerial12th
Crossing88th
Carrying34th
Big chances94th
Close range77th
Chance quality99th
The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: chance quality (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-10

Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.

Season shape · 2026/27

Home2-1-011–6 goals · 4–4 xG
Away1-0-24–7 goals · 4–7 xG
Proportional breakdown4 categories totalling 15.80%7%7%7%15SCORED
  • Open play80%
  • Free kicks7%
  • Set pieces7%
  • From corners7%
Proportional breakdown — 4 categories totalling 15.
CategoryValueShare
Open play1280.0%
Free kicks16.7%
Set pieces16.7%
From corners16.7%
Where Chelsea's goals came from, counted from shot data. Own goals by opponents are excluded, so this can total less than goals-for in the split above.
Proportional breakdown2 categories totalling 12.75%25%12CONCEDED
  • Open play75%
  • From corners25%
Proportional breakdown — 2 categories totalling 12.
CategoryValueShare
Open play975.0%
From corners325.0%
Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.
Who carried the threat
PlayerxGxAGA
João Pedro1.90.653
Morgan Rogers1.40.941
Romeo Lavia1.20.210
Cole Palmer0.92.123
Maxence Lacroix0.30.401
Reece James0.30.100
Jordan Henderson0.10.121
Estêvão0.10.000

Next up

Last season: 52 pts vs 58.8 xPts (-6.8) — finished 10, deserved 6.