Our approach

xGboard runs a family of proprietary prediction engines built and validated in-house. They read the quality of the chances teams create and concede — not just results — adjusted for opponent, venue and recency, and they are graded in public against the hardest benchmark in football: the market's closing prices.

We do not publish the machinery — that is the product. What we publish instead is something rarer: the complete performance record. Every prediction is written down before kickoff, never edited, and graded after the whistle. Misses stay on the page as prominently as hits.

Every engine has the same stated blind spots: no confirmed lineups, no injury news, no dressing-room gossip. Where an assessment leans on thin evidence — a newly promoted club, say — the page says so.

→ The permanent prediction record

Built from public football data; independent site; not affiliated with any league or bookmaker. Probabilities, never advice. Corrections: via the Follow page.