Sunday 23 Aug, 19:45 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
1–2✓ called — the win we priced at 49% · RPS 0.157
The claim — frozen at kickoff
Torino
IndexAttackDefense
49% WIN
1–1
Most likely score
Ac-Milan
IndexAttackDefense
TORINO 22%DRAW 29%AC-MILAN 49%
FT 1–2 — the model called it (RPS 0.157). Graded 2026-08-23 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams score
54%
Expected goals
1.0 · 1.6
Torino — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
Ac-Milan — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Torino and Ac-Milan — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.