Saturday 29 Aug, 14:30 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
3–0✓ called — the win we priced at 62% · RPS 0.091
The claim — frozen at kickoff
Rb-Leipzig
IndexAttackDefense
62% WIN
2–1
Most likely score
Borussia-Monchengladbach
IndexAttackDefense
RB-LEIPZIG 62%DRAW 20%BORUSSIA-MONCHENGLADBACH 18%
FT 3–0 — the model called it (RPS 0.091). Graded 2026-08-29 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams score
63%
Expected goals
2.3 · 1.2
Rb-Leipzig — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
Borussia-Monchengladbach — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Rb-Leipzig and Borussia-Monchengladbach — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.