Friday 28 Aug, 18:00 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
3–2✓ called — the win we priced at 42% · RPS 0.212
The claim — frozen at kickoff
Racing-Santander
IndexAttackDefense
42% WIN
1–1
Most likely score
Elche
IndexAttackDefense
RACING-SANTANDER 42%DRAW 27%ELCHE 31%
FT 3–2 — the model called it (RPS 0.212). Graded 2026-08-28 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams score
56%
Expected goals
1.5 · 1.2
Racing-Santander — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
Elche — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Racing-Santander and Elche — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.