Sunday 24 May, 16:00 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
1–1✗ missed — the draw we priced at 23% · RPS 0.169
The claim — frozen at kickoff

Liverpool

69Index75Attack61Defense
DLDLW
53%LIV WIN
1–1
Most likely score

Brentford

56Index64Attack47Defense
DDLWL
LIVERPOOL 53%DRAW 23%BRENTFORD 25%
FT 1–1 — the model missed (RPS 0.169). Graded 2026-08-15 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams score
67%
Expected goals
2.1 · 1.4
Liverpool — projected scorers
Dominik Szoboszlai11%43% ast—
Cody Gakpo35%17% ast—
Virgil van Dijk29%2% ast—
Florian Wirtz11%18% ast—
Rio Ngumoha9%19% ast—
Alexis Mac Allister10%18% ast—
Brentford — projected scorers
Dango Ouattara20%31% ast—
Thiago39%5% ast—
Keane Lewis-Potter12%17% ast—
Mikkel Damsgaard11%17% ast—
Kevin Schade19%6% astGOAL
Mathias Jensen3%20% ast—

These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.