Saturday 29 Aug, 19:45 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
2–0✓ called — the win we priced at 69% · RPS 0.053
The claim — frozen at kickoff
Juventus
IndexAttackDefense
69% WIN
1–0
Most likely score
Parma
IndexAttackDefense
JUVENTUS 69%DRAW 24%PARMA 8%
FT 2–0 — the model called it (RPS 0.053). Graded 2026-08-29 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams score
39%
Expected goals
1.9 · 0.6
Juventus — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
Parma — projected scorers
No qualified projections yet.
These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Juventus and Parma — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.