Friday 4 Sept, 20:00 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited
Full time
0–2✓ called — the LIV win we priced at 64% · RPS 0.081
The claim — frozen at kickoff

Ipswich Town

14Index25Attack8Defense
WLWLL
64%LIV WIN
1–2
Most likely score

Liverpool

63Index62Attack61Defense
LWDWD
IPSWICH 18%DRAW 18%LIVERPOOL 64%
FT 0–2 — the model called it (RPS 0.081). Graded 2026-09-04 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Both teams score
73%
Expected goals
1.5 · 2.8
Head to head · 2 league meetings since 2024/25
IPS 00 drawn2 LIV
2024/25LIV4–1IPS2025-01-25
2024/25IPS0–2LIV2024-08-17
Ipswich — projected scorers

No qualified projections yet.

Liverpool — projected scorers
Dominik Szoboszlai31%59% ast—
Cody Gakpo34%37% astAST
Alexis Mac Allister14%26% ast—
Florian Wirtz19%17% ast—
Rio Ngumoha12%23% ast—
Alexander Isak27%2% astGOAL

These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.

What this is built from
The engine weighs
  • Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
  • Opponent strength and venue
  • Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
  • Confirmed lineups
  • Injuries and suspensions
  • Cup rotation plans

Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.