Ligue 1 · engine xGB Current v2 · graded — the claim below was frozen before kickoff, never edited

Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain

Sunday 23 Aug, 18:45

Full time

0–0

chances 0.91 – 0.63 xG

✗ missed — we picked REN; the draw we priced at 17%.

The claim — frozen pre-kickoff

12 · 17 · 71REN · draw · PSG

RENNES 12%DRAW 17%PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN 71%

Expected goals: REN 1.04 · PSG 2.65

Goals

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams score61%

Double chance

REN or draw29%

Draw or PSG88%

REN or PSGno draw83%

Draw no bet

RENstake returned on a draw14%

PSG86%

Clean sheets

REN clean sheet7%

PSG clean sheet35%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.