Ligue 1 · engine xGB Current v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Paris FC vs Rennes
Saturday 17 Oct, 13:00
45 · 25 · 30PAR · draw · REN
2–1
Likeliest PAR win · 9%
PARIS FC 45%DRAW 25%RENNES 30%
Expected goals: PAR 1.75 · REN 1.41
Goals
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%
Double chance
PAR or draw70%
Draw or REN55%
PAR or RENno draw75%
Draw no bet
PARstake returned on a draw60%
REN40%
Clean sheets
PAR clean sheet25%
REN clean sheet18%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| PAR↓ REN→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
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Darker green = likelier. Rows are PAR goals, columns REN. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Paris FC and Rennes — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 2 meetings since 2025/26
PAR 00 drawn2 REN
2025/26Rennes2–1Paris FC2026-05-10
2025/26Paris FC0–1Rennes2025-11-07
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.