Ligue 1 · engine xGB Current v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 3)
Lyon vs Angers
Saturday 31 Oct, 19:45
70 · 19 · 11LYO · draw · ANG
2–0
Likeliest LYO win · 11%
LYON 70%DRAW 19%ANGERS 11%
Expected goals: LYO 2.31 · ANG 0.84
Goals
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score52%
Double chance
LYO or draw89%
Draw or ANG30%
LYO or ANGno draw81%
Draw no bet
LYOstake returned on a draw86%
ANG14%
Clean sheets
LYO clean sheet43%
ANG clean sheet10%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| LYO↓ ANG→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are LYO goals, columns ANG. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Lyon and Angers — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 19 meetings since 2015/16
LYO 143 drawn2 ANG
2025/26Angers0–0Lyon2026-04-05
2025/26Lyon1–0Angers2025-09-19
2024/25Lyon2–0Angers2025-05-17
2024/25Angers0–3Lyon2024-12-07
2022/23Angers1–3Lyon2023-02-25
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.