Ligue 1 · engine xGB Current v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Brest vs Angers
Saturday 10 Oct, 13:00
56 · 25 · 20BRE · draw · ANG
1–0
Likeliest BRE win · 11%
BREST 56%DRAW 25%ANGERS 20%
Expected goals: BRE 1.79 · ANG 0.98
Goals
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score53%
Double chance
BRE or draw80%
Draw or ANG44%
BRE or ANGno draw75%
Draw no bet
BREstake returned on a draw74%
ANG26%
Clean sheets
BRE clean sheet38%
ANG clean sheet17%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| BRE↓ ANG→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are BRE goals, columns ANG. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Brest and Angers — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 12 meetings since 2019/20
BRE 53 drawn4 ANG
2025/26Brest1–1Angers2026-05-17
2025/26Angers0–2Brest2025-09-28
2024/25Brest2–0Angers2025-03-09
2024/25Angers2–0Brest2025-01-05
2022/23Brest4–0Angers2023-01-29
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.