Ligue 1 · engine xGB Current v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Angers vs Lorient
Sunday 25 Oct, 16:15
29 · 29 · 42ANG · draw · LOR
0–1
Likeliest LOR win · 11%
ANGERS 29%DRAW 29%LORIENT 42%
Expected goals: ANG 1.10 · LOR 1.37
Goals
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%
Double chance
ANG or draw58%
Draw or LOR71%
ANG or LORno draw71%
Draw no bet
ANGstake returned on a draw41%
LOR59%
Clean sheets
ANG clean sheet26%
LOR clean sheet33%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| ANG↓ LOR→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are ANG goals, columns LOR. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Angers and Lorient — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 12 meetings since 2015/16
ANG 44 drawn4 LOR
2025/26Lorient2–0Angers2026-02-15
2025/26Angers2–0Lorient2025-10-26
2022/23Lorient0–0Angers2023-02-05
2022/23Angers1–2Lorient2023-01-01
2021/22Lorient0–0Angers2022-01-16
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.