La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 4)
Real Sociedad vs Levante
Sunday 25 Oct, 17:30
51 · 22 · 27RSO · draw · LEV
2–1
Likeliest RSO win · 9%
REAL SOCIEDAD 51%DRAW 22%LEVANTE 27%
Expected goals: RSO 2.15 · LEV 1.56
Goals
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score70%
Double chance
RSO or draw73%
Draw or LEV49%
RSO or LEVno draw78%
Draw no bet
RSOstake returned on a draw66%
LEV34%
Clean sheets
RSO clean sheet21%
LEV clean sheet12%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| RSO↓ LEV→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are RSO goals, columns LEV. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 16 meetings since 2014/15
RSO 75 drawn4 LEV
2025/26Real Sociedad2–0Levante2026-04-04
2025/26Levante1–1Real Sociedad2025-12-20
2021/22Levante2–1Real Sociedad2022-05-06
2021/22Real Sociedad1–0Levante2021-08-28
2020/21Real Sociedad1–0Levante2021-03-07
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.