La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Real Betis vs Osasuna
Sunday 11 Oct, 15:00
59 · 23 · 18REA · draw · OSA
1–0
Likeliest REA win · 10%
REAL BETIS 59%DRAW 23%OSASUNA 18%
Expected goals: REA 1.94 · OSA 1.03
Goals
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score56%
Double chance
REA or draw82%
Draw or OSA41%
REA or OSAno draw77%
Draw no bet
REAstake returned on a draw77%
OSA23%
Clean sheets
REA clean sheet36%
OSA clean sheet14%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| REA↓ OSA→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are REA goals, columns OSA. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 16 meetings since 2016/17
REA 123 drawn1 OSA
2025/26Osasuna1–1Real Betis2026-04-12
2025/26Real Betis2–0Osasuna2025-09-28
2024/25Real Betis1–1Osasuna2025-05-11
2024/25Osasuna1–2Real Betis2024-10-19
2023/24Osasuna0–2Real Betis2024-05-05
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.