La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

Thursday 20 Aug, 19:00

Full time

1–1

chances 0.57 – 2.22 xG

49 · 24 · 27RAY · draw · ALA

RAYO VALLECANO 49%DRAW 24%ALAVÉS 27%

Expected goals: RAY 1.61 · ALA 1.15

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams score54%

Double chance

RAY or draw73%

Draw or ALA52%

RAY or ALAno draw76%

Draw no bet

RAYstake returned on a draw64%

ALA36%

Clean sheets

RAY clean sheet32%

ALA clean sheet20%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.