La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Levante vs Sevilla
Sunday 11 Oct, 15:00
52 · 26 · 23LEV · draw · SEV
1–0
Likeliest LEV win · 10%
LEVANTE 52%DRAW 26%SEVILLA 23%
Expected goals: LEV 1.73 · SEV 1.11
Goals
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score56%
Double chance
LEV or draw77%
Draw or SEV49%
LEV or SEVno draw74%
Draw no bet
LEVstake returned on a draw69%
SEV31%
Clean sheets
LEV clean sheet33%
SEV clean sheet18%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| LEV↓ SEV→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are LEV goals, columns SEV. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 16 meetings since 2014/15
LEV 34 drawn9 SEV
2025/26Levante2–0Sevilla2026-04-23
2025/26Sevilla0–3Levante2026-01-04
2021/22Levante2–3Sevilla2022-04-21
2021/22Sevilla5–3Levante2021-10-24
2020/21Levante0–1Sevilla2021-04-21
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.