La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 16)

Levante vs Athletic

Wednesday 21 Oct, 19:30

41 · 26 · 34LEV · draw · ATH

LEVANTE 41%DRAW 26%ATHLETIC 34%

Expected goals: LEV 1.60 · ATH 1.44

Goals

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams score62%

Double chance

LEV or draw67%

Draw or ATH59%

LEV or ATHno draw74%

Draw no bet

LEVstake returned on a draw55%

ATH45%

Clean sheets

LEV clean sheet24%

ATH clean sheet20%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.