La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
Monday 19 Oct, 20:00
31 · 35 · 35GET · draw · RAY
0–1
Likeliest RAY win · 13%
GETAFE 31%DRAW 35%RAYO VALLECANO 35%
Expected goals: GET 0.97 · RAY 1.04
Goals
Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams score43%
Double chance
GET or draw65%
Draw or RAY69%
GET or RAYno draw66%
Draw no bet
GETstake returned on a draw47%
RAY53%
Clean sheets
GET clean sheet35%
RAY clean sheet38%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| GET↓ RAY→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are GET goals, columns RAY. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 16 meetings since 2014/15
GET 27 drawn7 RAY
2025/26Getafe0–2Rayo Vallecano2026-05-03
2025/26Rayo Vallecano1–1Getafe2026-01-02
2024/25Rayo Vallecano1–0Getafe2025-05-02
2024/25Getafe0–0Rayo Vallecano2024-08-24
2023/24Rayo Vallecano0–0Getafe2024-04-13
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.