La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · graded — the claim below was frozen before kickoff, never edited

Getafe vs Racing Santander

Sunday 23 Aug, 17:30

Full time

1–0

chances 0.98 – 1.17 xG

✓ called — we picked GET; the GET win we priced at 46%.

The claim — frozen pre-kickoff

46 · 33 · 21GET · draw · RAC

GETAFE 46%DRAW 33%RACING SANTANDER 21%

Expected goals: GET 1.20 · RAC 0.74

Goals

Over 1.5 goals58%

Over 2.5 goals31%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams score39%

Double chance

GET or draw79%

Draw or RAC54%

GET or RACno draw67%

Draw no bet

GETstake returned on a draw69%

RAC31%

Clean sheets

GET clean sheet48%

RAC clean sheet30%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.