La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 4)
Getafe vs Deportivo
Sunday 13 Sept, 15:00
49 · 31 · 19GET · draw · DEP
1–0
Likeliest GET win · 18%
GETAFE 49%DRAW 31%DEPORTIVO 19%
Expected goals: GET 1.27 · DEP 0.72
Goals
Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams score39%
Double chance
GET or draw81%
Draw or DEP51%
GET or DEPno draw69%
Draw no bet
GETstake returned on a draw72%
DEP28%
Clean sheets
GET clean sheet49%
DEP clean sheet28%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| GET↓ DEP→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are GET goals, columns DEP. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 6 meetings since 2014/15
GET 41 drawn1 DEP
2017/18Getafe3–0Deportivo2018-02-28
2017/18Deportivo2–1Getafe2017-09-30
2015/16Deportivo0–2Getafe2016-05-01
2015/16Getafe0–0Deportivo2015-12-30
2014/15Getafe2–1Deportivo2015-04-05
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.