La Liga · engine xGB Core v2 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Deportivo vs Levante
Friday 16 Oct, 20:00
41 · 26 · 34DEP · draw · LEV
2–1
Likeliest DEP win · 9%
DEPORTIVO 41%DRAW 26%LEVANTE 34%
Expected goals: DEP 1.63 · LEV 1.48
Goals
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams score63%
Double chance
DEP or draw66%
Draw or LEV60%
DEP or LEVno draw74%
Draw no bet
DEPstake returned on a draw55%
LEV46%
Clean sheets
DEP clean sheet23%
LEV clean sheet20%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| DEP↓ LEV→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
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| 0 | ||||||
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Darker green = likelier. Rows are DEP goals, columns LEV. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 6 meetings since 2014/15
DEP 24 drawn0 LEV
2017/18Deportivo2–2Levante2018-01-27
2017/18Levante2–2Deportivo2017-08-26
2015/16Deportivo2–1Levante2016-03-19
2015/16Levante1–1Deportivo2015-11-07
2014/15Deportivo2–0Levante2015-05-17
Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.