Bundesliga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday 10 Oct, 13:30
58 · 21 · 22RBL · draw · EIN
2–1
Likeliest RBL win · 9%
RB LEIPZIG 58%DRAW 21%EINTRACHT FRANKFURT 22%
Expected goals: RBL 2.33 · EIN 1.40
Goals
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score69%
Double chance
RBL or draw78%
Draw or EIN42%
RBL or EINno draw79%
Draw no bet
RBLstake returned on a draw73%
EIN27%
Clean sheets
RBL clean sheet25%
EIN clean sheet10%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| RBL↓ EIN→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are RBL goals, columns EIN. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 20 meetings since 2016/17
RBL 78 drawn5 EIN
2025/26Eintracht Frankfurt1–3RB Leipzig2026-04-18
2025/26RB Leipzig6–0Eintracht Frankfurt2025-12-06
2024/25Eintracht Frankfurt4–0RB Leipzig2025-04-26
2024/25RB Leipzig2–1Eintracht Frankfurt2024-12-15
2023/24Eintracht Frankfurt2–2RB Leipzig2024-05-18
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.