Bundesliga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Sunday 1 Nov, 16:30
59 · 21 · 20EIN · draw · HAM
2–1
Likeliest EIN win · 10%
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT 59%DRAW 21%HAMBURGER SV 20%
Expected goals: EIN 2.13 · HAM 1.17
Goals
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score61%
Double chance
EIN or draw80%
Draw or HAM41%
EIN or HAMno draw79%
Draw no bet
EINstake returned on a draw75%
HAM25%
Clean sheets
EIN clean sheet31%
HAM clean sheet12%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| EIN↓ HAM→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are EIN goals, columns HAM. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 10 meetings since 2014/15
EIN 54 drawn1 HAM
2025/26Eintracht Frankfurt1–2Hamburger SV2026-05-02
2025/26Hamburger SV1–1Eintracht Frankfurt2025-12-20
2017/18Eintracht Frankfurt3–0Hamburger SV2018-05-05
2017/18Hamburger SV1–2Eintracht Frankfurt2017-12-12
2016/17Eintracht Frankfurt0–0Hamburger SV2017-03-18
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.