Bundesliga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln
Saturday 17 Oct, 13:30
54 · 22 · 24EIN · draw · KOE
2–1
Likeliest EIN win · 9%
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT 54%DRAW 22%KÖLN 24%
Expected goals: EIN 2.19 · KOE 1.43
Goals
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score68%
Double chance
EIN or draw76%
Draw or KOE46%
EIN or KOEno draw78%
Draw no bet
EINstake returned on a draw69%
KOE31%
Clean sheets
EIN clean sheet24%
KOE clean sheet11%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| EIN↓ KOE→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are EIN goals, columns KOE. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 20 meetings since 2014/15
EIN 76 drawn7 KOE
2025/26Eintracht Frankfurt2–2Köln2026-04-05
2025/26Köln3–4Eintracht Frankfurt2025-11-22
2023/24Köln2–0Eintracht Frankfurt2024-02-03
2023/24Eintracht Frankfurt1–1Köln2023-09-03
2022/23Köln3–0Eintracht Frankfurt2023-02-12
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.