Bundesliga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 3)
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg
Sunday 6 Sept, 15:30
54 · 23 · 23EIN · draw · AUG
2–1
Likeliest EIN win · 10%
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT 54%DRAW 23%AUGSBURG 23%
Expected goals: EIN 2.03 · AUG 1.27
Goals
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score63%
Double chance
EIN or draw77%
Draw or AUG46%
EIN or AUGno draw78%
Draw no bet
EINstake returned on a draw70%
AUG30%
Clean sheets
EIN clean sheet28%
AUG clean sheet13%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| EIN↓ AUG→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are EIN goals, columns AUG. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
EIN 810 drawn6 AUG
2025/26Augsburg1–1Eintracht Frankfurt2026-04-25
2025/26Eintracht Frankfurt1–0Augsburg2025-12-13
2024/25Augsburg0–0Eintracht Frankfurt2025-04-20
2024/25Eintracht Frankfurt2–2Augsburg2024-12-07
2023/24Eintracht Frankfurt3–1Augsburg2024-04-19
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.