Bundesliga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 3)
Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday 24 Oct, 17:30
67 · 19 · 15BVB · draw · EIN
2–1
Likeliest BVB win · 9%
DORTMUND 67%DRAW 19%EINTRACHT FRANKFURT 15%
Expected goals: BVB 2.49 · EIN 1.13
Goals
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score63%
Double chance
BVB or draw85%
Draw or EIN34%
BVB or EINno draw81%
Draw no bet
BVBstake returned on a draw82%
EIN18%
Clean sheets
BVB clean sheet32%
EIN clean sheet8%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
| BVB↓ EIN→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
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| 5 |
Darker green = likelier. Rows are BVB goals, columns EIN. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
- Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
- Opponent strength and venue
- Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
- Confirmed lineups
- Injuries and suspensions
- Cup rotation plans
Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.
Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
BVB 136 drawn5 EIN
2025/26Dortmund3–2Eintracht Frankfurt2026-05-08
2025/26Eintracht Frankfurt3–3Dortmund2026-01-09
2024/25Eintracht Frankfurt2–0Dortmund2025-01-17
2024/25Dortmund2–0Eintracht Frankfurt2024-08-24
2023/24Dortmund3–1Eintracht Frankfurt2024-03-17
Match-level assessment. Scorer projections for this round are on the matchday board. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.