Sunday 24 May, 16:00 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited

Sunderland

37Index29Attack50Defense
WWDDL
46%CHE WIN
1–1
Most likely score

Chelsea

61Index69Attack50Defense
LWDLL
SUNDERLAND 27%DRAW 26%CHELSEA 46%
FT 2–1 — the model missed (RPS 0.373). Graded 2026-08-15 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams score
59%
Expected goals λ
1.2 · 1.7
Sunderland — projected scorers
Enzo Le Fée9%50% ast—
Brian Brobbey24%9% ast—
Noah Sadiki11%6% ast—
Granit Xhaka4%12% ast—
Trai Hume6%8% astGOAL
Habib Diarra9%4% ast—
Chelsea — projected scorers
Enzo Fernández19%28% ast—
Marc Cucurella7%22% ast—
Cole Palmer17%11% astGOAL
Malo Gusto1%20% ast—
João Pedro19%3% ast—
Alejandro Garnacho6%11% ast—

These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.