Sunday 24 May, 16:00 · engine xGB Core v1 · graded — published before kickoff, never edited

Nottingham Forest

42Index41Attack45Defense
DLDWW
42%BOU WIN
1–1
Most likely score

Bournemouth

61Index66Attack54Defense
DDWWD
FOREST 32%DRAW 26%BOURNEMOUTH 42%
FT 1–1 — the model missed (RPS 0.140). Graded 2026-08-15 · permanent record at /model.
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams score
63%
Expected goals λ
1.4 · 1.7
Forest — projected scorers
Taiwo Awoniyi30%9% ast—
Morgan Gibbs-White22%14% astGOAL
Igor Jesus22%13% ast—
Elliot Anderson11%23% ast—
Neco Williams5%16% ast—
Nicolás Domínguez2%10% ast—
Bournemouth — projected scorers
Marcus Tavernier29%27% astGOAL
Eli Junior Kroupi34%7% ast—
Adrien Truffert12%22% astAST
Evanilson22%12% ast—
Rayan12%17% ast—
Alex Scott9%15% ast—

These are the projections exactly as published before kickoff — never edited after the fact.