Solid: chances created. Dashed red: chances conceded. Both six-match rolling averages. A dashed vertical marks a new season. n = 38 matches. Chart R4pbsnpfiv5snb.
Where the goals against arose. Own goals excluded, as above.
Chance quality, match by match
xG created
xG conceded
Time series — 2 series over 6 time points.
matchday (1–6)
xG created
xG conceded
1
1.2
1.5
2
1.9
1.0
3
2.1
0.62
4
3.1
1.9
5
1.6
2.3
6
1.3
2.2
Per-match chance quality across 6 matches — creation vs concession. Crossovers are where seasons turn.
Style profile · how they play, not how good they are
Each axis is a percentile against the 20 other clubs with a profile this season, built from every shot Monza has taken and conceded in their last twelve matches. A club can sit high on these axes and still be poor — this describes character, not quality.
The shape of what they give up. Most exposed to: set-piece threat (99th percentile). as of 2026-10-11
Descriptive only. We tested whether style matchups improve match forecasts — a set-piece side against a set-piece-vulnerable defence, and so on — and the answer was no, to five decimal places. These profiles tell you what a match will look like, not who will win it.
Luck ledger · 2026/27
— points · - - expected points · hover for any game