Serie A · engine xGB Current v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Torino vs Udinese

Sunday 11 Oct, 13:00
37 · 30 · 33TOR · draw · UDI
1–0
Likeliest TOR win · 9%
TORINO 37%DRAW 30%UDINESE 33%

Expected goals: TOR 1.35 · UDI 1.28

Goals
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams score56%
Double chance
TOR or draw67%
Draw or UDI63%
TOR or UDIno draw70%
Draw no bet
TORstake returned on a draw53%
UDI47%
Clean sheets
TOR clean sheet28%
UDI clean sheet26%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
TOR↓ UDI→012345
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Darker green = likelier. Rows are TOR goals, columns UDI. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
  • Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
  • Opponent strength and venue
  • Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
  • Confirmed lineups
  • Injuries and suspensions
  • Cup rotation plans

Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Torino and Udinese — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.

Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.

Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
TOR 125 drawn7 UDI
2025/26Udinese2–0Torino2026-05-02
2025/26Torino1–2Udinese2026-01-07
2024/25Torino2–0Udinese2025-04-23
2024/25Udinese2–2Torino2024-12-29
2023/24Udinese0–2Torino2024-03-16

Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.