Serie A · engine xGB Current v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries · reassessed after earlier results (rev 2)

Torino vs Como

Tuesday 27 Oct, 19:45
19 · 27 · 54TOR · draw · COM
0–1
Likeliest COM win · 11%
TORINO 19%DRAW 27%COMO 54%

Expected goals: TOR 1.02 · COM 1.78

Goals
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score55%
Double chance
TOR or draw46%
Draw or COM81%
TOR or COMno draw73%
Draw no bet
TORstake returned on a draw26%
COM74%
Clean sheets
TOR clean sheet17%
COM clean sheet36%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Every scoreline, priced — tap a cell
TOR↓ COM→012345
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Darker green = likelier. Rows are TOR goals, columns COM. Scores of six or more each way carry the remaining probability.
What this is built from
The engine weighs
  • Chance quality created and conceded, both sides, all season
  • Opponent strength and venue
  • Recent play, weighted toward now
It cannot see
  • Confirmed lineups
  • Injuries and suspensions
  • Cup rotation plans

Thin evidence: the engine has seen little recent top-flight data on Torino and Como — this assessment leans on conservative defaults more than usual.

Engine internals are proprietary. The complete performance record — including every miss — is public on the record.

Head to head · 4 meetings since 2024/25
TOR 10 drawn3 COM
2025/26Como6–0Torino2026-01-24
2025/26Torino1–5Como2025-11-24
2024/25Como1–0Torino2025-04-13
2024/25Torino1–0Como2024-10-25

Match-level assessment. No scorer projections here: we hold every appearance in this league, and a player model has been measured on it, but its probabilities came out over-confident for the players you would actually read. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.